AI
Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK)·Q2 2026 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Autodesk delivered a clean beat: revenue $1.763B (+17% YoY) and non-GAAP EPS $2.62 both topped consensus; GAAP EPS $1.46, GAAP operating margin 25% and non-GAAP operating margin 39% . Against S&P Global consensus, revenue beat by ~$39M and non-GAAP EPS by ~$0.17 per share, driven by AECO strength, Autodesk Store, stronger billings linearity, and up-front revenue in EBAs .*
- Full-year FY26 guidance was raised: revenue to $7.025–$7.075B (from $6.925–$6.995B), billings to $7.355–$7.445B, non-GAAP op margin ~37% (from 36.5–37%), non-GAAP EPS $9.80–$9.98 (from $9.50–$9.73), and FCF $2.200–$2.275B (from $2.100–$2.200B) .
- Near-term catalysts: Q3 FY26 guidance implies continued top-line growth ($1.800–$1.810B revenue; non-GAAP EPS $2.48–$2.51) and Autodesk University plus Investor Day on Oct 7 with AI, platform and margin framework updates .
- Risk cleared: SEC and USAO investigations into FCF and non-GAAP margin practices were closed in August, removing an overhang . The company maintained macro conservatism for H2 with tougher comps and back-half weighted FCF, but execution remains disciplined .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Strong top-line and profitability: revenue $1.763B (+17% YoY), non-GAAP EPS $2.62 (+$0.47 YoY), GAAP op margin 25% (+200 bps YoY), non-GAAP op margin 39% (+100 bps YoY) . CFO: “Q2 was another strong quarter… Store, billings linearity… and up-front revenue were stronger than expected” .
- Segment strength: AECO revenue $878M (+23% YoY) with tailwinds from data centers, infrastructure, and industrial buildings; “momentum in our construction business is unchanged… performing quite well” .
- Balance sheet and cash: Operating cash flow $460M (+117% YoY) and FCF $451M (+122% YoY); RPO $7.297B (+24% YoY); current RPO $4.677B (+20% YoY) . Management raised FY26 buyback target by ~$100M to $1.2–$1.3B and reiterated long-term margin expansion targets (41% reported non-GAAP by FY29) .
What Went Wrong
- Commercial softness and APAC drag: AECO strength offset “softness in commercial”; APAC grew 11% YoY but is more exposed to macro and transaction model ramp (Japan last to transition) .
- New transaction model headwind: Mechanical margin drag persists as the model scales, with CFO noting headwinds through FY27; guidance embeds prudence for H2 and tougher comps, particularly in Q4 .
- Macro/tariffs uncertainty: Management continues to bake conservatism at the low end of guidance; customers cite pricing pressures from tariffs, though impact is not materially visible yet .
Financial Results
Key P&L and margins
Actual vs S&P Global consensus
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Segment breakdown by product type
Segment breakdown by product family
Geographic breakdown
KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “We have been building industry-specific foundation models… capable of understanding and reasoning about 2D and 3D geometry, design and make data… We’re excited about the road ahead… and the platform ecosystem we’ve built… to scale AI successfully” .
- CFO: “We have raised our full year guidance to reflect the underlying strength of the business in the first half of the year and additional foreign exchange tailwinds” .
- On construction: “Momentum in our construction business is unchanged… performing well across… U.S. and internationally; payments performing well; modern, end-to-end platform” .
- Long-term margins: “Assuming no material change… we expect reported non-GAAP operating margin to be 41% in fiscal 2029 or about 45% on an underlying basis… the largest contribution… from sales and marketing” .
Q&A Highlights
- Margin trajectory and drivers: Largest lift from sales & marketing optimization, with inherent operating leverage; path to 41% reported non-GAAP margin by FY29; not linear due to transaction model headwinds in FY27 .
- Construction and AECO runway: Continued traction with ACC, preconstruction planning, payments; comprehensive, modern stack; wins across pyramid and mid-market; international growth .
- Channel productivity and Store/PLG: First renewals on new model in Americas (June) and EMEA (September) went as expected; steady increase in partner new business; investment in PLG driving Store capture and self-serve build-out .
- Macro/tariffs: Conservatism at guidance low end; customers coping with pricing pressures; management embeds prudence despite stable observed momentum .
- H2 setup and comps: Large EBA and product subscription renewals in back half; tougher comps (transaction model and acquisitions weighted to H2 last year); FCF more weighted to Q4 .
Estimates Context
- Q2 FY26 vs consensus: Revenue $1.763B vs $1.724B*, non-GAAP EPS $2.62 vs $2.45*; broad-based demand (AECO, Store, upfront revenue) and FX tailwinds drove the beat .*
- Q1 FY26 vs consensus: Revenue $1.633B vs $1.607B*, non-GAAP EPS $2.29 vs $2.15*; steady underlying momentum and easing transaction model friction supported outperformance .*
- FY26 guidance raised on revenue, EPS, FCF; Street estimates likely to move higher for H2, with back-half prudence intact given tougher comps and transaction model dynamics .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Strong print and raise: Q2 beat on both revenue and EPS; FY26 guide raised on revenue, non-GAAP EPS, and FCF—supports near-term positive estimate revisions .
- Mix and seculars drive resilience: AECO/Construction momentum (data centers, infrastructure) offsets commercial softness; Store and EBA upfront revenue buttress quarterly results .
- Margin expansion credible: Execution on sales/marketing optimization and self-serve build-out underpins multi-year operating leverage; long-term non-GAAP margin target increased (FY29) .
- Watch H2 cadence: Expect tougher comps in Q4 and mechanical margin drag from transaction model; FCF more Q4-weighted; large renewal cohorts to close in back half .
- AI/platform narrative: Autodesk’s proprietary industry foundation models and product-level AI (Fusion, Forma, Flow Studio freemium) are differentiating and potential monetization levers .
- Legal overhang removed: SEC and USAO matters closed; governance optics improved .
- Near-term catalysts: Autodesk University and Oct 7 Investor Day (AI, platform, margin framework); Q3 guide implies continued growth; monitor updates on channel renewals and Store PLG efficacy .